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Hurricane Plan for WEG?

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  • #81
    Originally posted by Samantha37 View Post
    So is everyone who planned on going still going? Or are people cancelling their trips? Specifically looking at those who are driving there.
    Yes, driving down as originally planned. Maybe with an extra pair of wellies...

    Comment


    • #82
      So here is another good discussion. http://www.damweather.com/2018/09/th...hurricane.html

      One thing I'd note is that while Tryon is far from the coast, and the current rainfall prediction is around 3", it's like 50 miles from areas expected to get 10" of rain. There's just not that much accuracy in the track IMHO to feel like 3" is as bad as it will get. I am glad to hear the organizers are stepping up their thoughts on it.

      The other thing is that rain and wind are the obvious problem but being without power for hours or days is its own kind of disaster even if Tryon doesn't get any rain or wind, and a storm of this size could potentially cause significant power disruptions. (I don't know the topography of the grid there.)

      No power can mean there's no refrigeration, no ability to pump gas, no ability to accept credit cards for payment, no water or contaminated tap water, no cooking, no lighting, and no heat or ac. No showering. Potentially also no cell service, no internet/data, and no ability to charge your phone even if there was service. This, trust me, is bad enough in your own home with your own supplies and your own house and your own car.

      Of course, for the purposes of the competition, I assume they're going to have real problems running scoreboards, timers, computers, and communications if they don't have grid power. If they are reading this, I would also advise them to plan for their internet provider to be down and to consider how that affects all aspects of operations. For example, if they have VOIP, that may also mean they don't even have telephones if either of power or internet is out.

      If I were going, I'd probably pack a few collapsable water bottles that can be filled when I arrive, a selection of nonperishable compact snacks (jerky, nuts, my favorite KIND bars), my headlamp, nitrile gloves, and some extra batteries for the headlamp and an extra charger for the cell phone. Maybe a handful of extra ziploc bags. I'd already be bringing my backpack and rain gear and a few extra pairs of my favorite Darn Tough socks.

      It will probably all be OK but best to be as prepared as you can be to shelter in place, wherever that place ends up being. Fingers crossed that the storm moves through swiftly and without too much havoc, but let's invoke the gods of mischief all we can by being prepared for worse.
      If you are allergic to a thing, it is best not to put that thing in your mouth, particularly if the thing is cats. - Lemony Snicket

      Comment


      • #83
        Originally posted by skydy View Post
        The latest rain forecast;https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/gra...inqpf#contents
        I don't think anyone will be flying into Charlotte...

        The issue is the sheer size of storm - even if Charlotte itself is not inundated, planes may not be able to get there thru the storm...Depends on where they are coming and going from. Would not hold high hopes for the airport...

        For those going, be sure you read what is allowed in; they are pretty strict on food, water, etc. Scroll down to the food part and beyond. https://www.citizen-times.com/story/...ow/1256679002/
        Last edited by 2tempe; Sep. 11, 2018, 07:21 PM. Reason: additional comment

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        • #84
          Originally posted by 2tempe View Post


          The issue is the sheer size of storm - even if Charlotte itself is not inundated, planes may not be able to get there thru the storm...Depends on where they are coming and going from. Would not hold high hopes for the airport...

          For those going, be sure you read what is allowed in; they are pretty strict on food, water, etc.
          The airlines prefer to get their aircraft out of areas of natural disaster. For those that are flying in, call your airline. They usually wait as long as they can to stop service but they will want their aircraft and employees out at some point.
          Depending on your itinerary, you may get in, but you may also be staying much longer than you intended.

          Comment


          • #85
            I realize they're limiting snacks and water going into the venue, but I'm talking about just having the supplies cached in your hotel as well as some on you for the day. Be prepared that getting into the venue might not even be on the radar if you need them...
            If you are allergic to a thing, it is best not to put that thing in your mouth, particularly if the thing is cats. - Lemony Snicket

            Comment


            • #86
              Originally posted by ladybugsbw View Post
              The latest model just showed that it is going to turn as it comes to shore and go directly toward tryon/greenville area after coming onshore near wilmington. If this occurs they think the area of Asheville to Tryon could get 12+ inches of rain... They said it is going to just sit over the greenville / charlotte area for a few days...
              If this happens there is just no way....
              Yes, I saw that shortly after I posted the earlier images from NOAA. Latest data indicates that it will start to stall, which will force it a bit more to the south. So there will be more wind and rain further west in NC than earlier predictions.

              On this image, the storm center looks to be right in the Tryon/Lake Lure area at 2pm Sunday ("D" on the map).
              Attached Files

              Comment


              • #87
                From tonight's WEG press conference: http://useventing.com/news/weg-offic...ending-weather
                "Whether you think you can or think you can't, you are right." -Henry Ford

                Comment


                • #88
                  The thing that concerns me about that sunny press conference report is that it sounds like they haven't contemplated the possibility that they could lose power or communications. I would urge anyone in a position to whisper in their ear to get them thinking about those things, because there are always surprises about how hard it is to do the things you need to do without them. Our area has had multiple large scale communications failures and we still get surprised, even on the sunny days. For example, if you have no power and no cell service, how will you tell people to all come shelter in that covered arena? And how will anyone tell you that there's a big weather cell coming at you?
                  If you are allergic to a thing, it is best not to put that thing in your mouth, particularly if the thing is cats. - Lemony Snicket

                  Comment


                  • #89
                    Originally posted by poltroon View Post
                    The thing that concerns me about that sunny press conference report is that it sounds like they haven't contemplated the possibility that they could lose power or communications. I would urge anyone in a position to whisper in their ear to get them thinking about those things, because there are always surprises about how hard it is to do the things you need to do without them. Our area has had multiple large scale communications failures and we still get surprised, even on the sunny days. For example, if you have no power and no cell service, how will you tell people to all come shelter in that covered arena? And how will anyone tell you that there's a big weather cell coming at you?

                    I realize this might not cover all aspects of what you're saying, but the press report on Eventing Nation did address some of those concerns:

                    "Tryon is working with three different electrical suppliers during WEG and has numerous generators on-site. There are also two high-volume wells on the property, both of which are attached to the emergency generators and supply drinkable water."

                    See full report here: http://eventingnation.com/tryon-addr...ce-approaches/
                    ***
                    The hardest to learn was the least complicated.

                    Comment


                    • #90
                      It makes me ill to think of the worlds best horses, so many of them, potentially being involved in flooding. Ugh. I really hope this doesn't come the way they are saying it is :/
                      Boss Mare Eventing Blog

                      Comment


                      • #91
                        After much of being on the fence, I have decided to not attend. I am in Central Florida and have experienced first hand what Irma and Charley did to our home in Winter Park, just north of Orlando. The cabin I had rented is next to a stream and that has me very, very nervous. One part of our party is worried about leaving her horses, south of DC and my daughter, in DC, will most likely not be able to fly in on Thursday evening. It just isn't worth the risk. I have bad visions of severe flooding, mudslides, no power and no gas. Best of luck to everyone attending, I hope that everyone is safe and dry on the other side of this monster storm. Now to try and get a refund...the home owner we rented from on vrbo is not giving me a refund. I did take out a policy on Sunday and my son says to look into my credit card that I paid for everything with.
                        Lori T
                        www.calypsofarmeventers.blogspot.com
                        www.facebook.com/LoriTankelPhotography
                        www.facebook.com/LTEquine for product updates on the lines I rep

                        Comment


                        • #92
                          Originally posted by Lori T View Post
                          After much of being on the fence, I have decided to not attend. I am in Central Florida and have experienced first hand what Irma and Charley did to our home in Winter Park, just north of Orlando. The cabin I had rented is next to a stream and that has me very, very nervous. One part of our party is worried about leaving her horses, south of DC and my daughter, in DC, will most likely not be able to fly in on Thursday evening. It just isn't worth the risk. I have bad visions of severe flooding, mudslides, no power and no gas. Best of luck to everyone attending, I hope that everyone is safe and dry on the other side of this monster storm. Now to try and get a refund...the home owner we rented from on vrbo is not giving me a refund. I did take out a policy on Sunday and my son says to look into my credit card that I paid for everything with.
                          I'm curious who should give you a refund? Unless you purchased trip insurance somehow I don't think WEG or the CC company would or even should give refunds for potential natural disasters and your decision not to attend. It's an unfortunate situation but nobody is at fault or owes anyone anything IMO. We are still planning on going for now but just have SJ tickets so aren't leaving until Monday. That will give us a few more days to see how it's looking.
                          Destiny is not a matter of chance, it is a matter of choice; it is not a thing to be waited for, it is a thing to be achieved. - William Jennings Bryan

                          http://www.halcyon-hill.com

                          Comment


                          • #93
                            Originally posted by Lori T View Post
                            After much of being on the fence, I have decided to not attend.
                            Unfortunately I have decided not to go as well. Thankfully, I can change my reservations with Southwest rather easily and had not yet purchased a flight for a trip I plan to take next month.

                            I'm super sad, but it is what it is. I hope all my friends and family in NC weather this storm.
                            Dreaming in Color

                            Comment


                            • #94
                              It is a difficult thing isn't it? To take a chance or not to... It really is a gamble either way, to go or not to go. Hurricanes are unpredictable.
                              "Do you feel lucky?" is how it ends. Some people are more willing to gamble than are others.

                              Whatever you decide, I hope you win. Even more, I hope you don't lose.

                              Comment


                              • #95
                                Hmmm...

                                Comment


                                • #96
                                  Will the endurance course be ok with a lot of rain? Wondering where those horses were to be going for the competition.
                                  Boss Mare Eventing Blog

                                  Comment


                                  • #97
                                    Yup. One has to keep up with the forecast. Which makes planning a gamble, as science can only give you their best every 6 hours. God love 'em.
                                    Cheers to the meteorologists at the NOAA NHS!

                                    Please stay safe, everyone

                                    Do you feel lucky?. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I530sPVQSc8

                                    Comment


                                    • #98

                                      Comment


                                      • #99
                                        Originally posted by Jealoushe View Post
                                        Will the endurance course be ok with a lot of rain? Wondering where those horses were to be going for the competition.
                                        There was a video on FB of some of the endurance riders having a look at the footing the other day. They were not happy And that was in sunshine.

                                        Comment


                                        • Not sure who runs the Dressage Hub group on Facebook, but they seem rather thrilled that it's all starting to go wrong weather-wise. Seems very unsporting.

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